市场综述2024年4月19日

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市场摘要:周五美股开盘前,市场处于紧张状态,因为有消息称伊朗将遭到报复性打击。开盘,市场下跌,石油期货飙升。随后,市场稳住情绪,因为看起来以色列的袭击范围有限。标普500几无变化,纳斯达克100收复了大部分失地。但在该交易日剩余的交易时段,此前高歌猛进的科技板块情绪恶化。其中,人工智能领头羊英伟达当天暴跌10%,奈飞Netflix)继周四公布的财报后跌近10%。纳指收盘跌超2%,科技板块也将标普500拖至5000点以下(目前比几周前的历史高点低约5%)。股市下跌是由“七巨头“推动的,受这些股票影响较小的道琼斯指数当天收盘走高。波动率方面,尽管各种风云变幻,VIX期货仅略有上涨。

亚洲夜盘,大多数股指期货小幅上涨,虽然交易价格低于早些时候美国交易时段的高点(当时日经指数期货和韩国指数期货收复了日间交易的部分强劲跌幅)。

Market Highlights Markets were on edge prior to the US open, as news trickled in about a retaliatory strike on Iran. Initially, markets dropped and oil futures shot higher, but markets calmed afterwards as the scope of Israel’s attack appeared to be limited. The S&P 500 uncovered to nearly unchanged and the Nasdaq 100 recouped most of its losses. But in the remainder of the session, sentiment in the previously highflying technology sector soured, led by AI bellwether Nvidia which tumbled by 10% over the day and Netflix which dropped nearly 10% following its earnings announcement yesterday. Nasdaq ended over 2% down and the technology stocks also dragged the S&P 500 below the 5,000 level, now some 5% below its all-time-high reached just a few weeks ago. But as a sign how the declines were driven by the Magnificent Seven, the Dow Jones which is less exposed to these names ended the day higher. In volatility, despite all the action the VIX futures were only slightly higher.

In Asian night futures trading, most equity index futures had small gains although the traded shy of their highs earlier in the US session when Nikkei and Kospi had recouped part of their strong losses during the daytime trading session.

主要股指:标普500跌0.88%至4,967.23;道琼斯涨0.56%至37,986.40;纳斯达克100跌2.05%至17,037.65。

美市个股:苹果跌1.22%至165.00美元;特斯拉跌1.92%至147.05美元;英伟达跌10.00%至762.00美元。

亚洲指数自各市场收盘后:日经225期货涨30点至37,130(涨0.08%);韩国Kospi200期货跌0.92点至353.13(跌0.26%);恒生指数期货涨83点至16,331(涨0.51%);恒生国企指数期货涨27点至5,785(涨0.47%);富时中国A50期货涨47点至12,238(涨0.39%)。

利率与预期:10年期美国国债利率跌1基点至4.62%;2年期美国国债利率几无变化为4.98%;降息预期变化不大,6月12日FOMC会议降息的概率降至17%,7月会议降息的概率为43%,首个明确的降息预期仍指向9月18日会议(概率为67%)。

外盘商品:原油期货涨0.86%至83.44美元;天然气期货涨0.40%至1.764美元;黄金期货涨0.43%至2,389.34美元。

波动率:VIX现货收于18.71(涨0.71点);VIX期货(合约期5月)收于17.70(涨0.32点);标普500指数1个月平价隐含波动率收于16.4%(基于相同行权价涨0.1点);纳斯达克100指数1个月平价隐含波动率收于21.3%(基于相同行权价跌0.4点)。

【注:此处的任何内容均不构成购买证券的要约或要约邀请。】

$TRUE PARTNER(08657)$

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数据源自芝加哥时间2024年4月19日下午16时Bloomberg (平价波动率数据源自True Partner)。